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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (43611)	3/24/2002 10:44:33 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 99280

Summer Massacre catalysts Care to add to or subtract from this list or order them in importance? rising interest rates consumer spending finally tanks (double dip recession starts) the mushrooming debt trade wars increase in commodity/energy prices lack of strong rebound in earnings slowing housing Fear of war November rebound catalysts(these seem harder, any additions?) fear of war subsides when war actually breaks out plain old fashioned bear market rally realization that bottom is finally in How is this scenario? May June massacre July August rally (but not as strong as Nov rally) September October retest November huge rally M

To: Zeev Hed who wrote (43611)	3/25/2002 5:43:18 AM
From: Crimson Ghost	Respond to of 99280

The current situation re:gold is beginning to remind me the collapse of the London Gold Pool in the 1960s. Agressive central bank selling kept gold down for a number of years, but failed in the end when investment demand exploded. The value of all the gold in the world is very small compared with the total value of financial assets. If investor demand picks up in a big way (as is happening in Japan) the central banks may not be able to keep gold down even if they sold everything. Especially considering that they have already lent out much of the gold they claim to "own" and the huge short positions currently outstanding. I am not predicting this, but with all the uncertainties and dangers we face today, the kind of explosive rally in gold GATA has been forecasting cannot be ruled out.