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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: limtex who wrote (48943)	3/25/2002 12:26:53 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 65232

with stocks no higher, after rate cuts, sign of bear rally both bear rally in stocks and in economy I think the main impetus behind economic recovery so far has been tax cuts and whopping increases to both consumer debt and federal debt if we do see some economic recovery for real, I think it is likely to be fleeting, brief, thin, and unsustained during that period, some energy inflation will fire gold/silver out of the box that central and bullion bankers have put it in then when recession resumes in 8-12 months, inflation will continue while businesses must absorb higher energy costs this is where it gets dicey inflation will work its way into the system while the economy stagnates this is what the stock market is telling us with no higher highs heck, no higher highs!!! not even a 30% retracement of past declines in Naz I expect inflation in energy costs (from short supply) and deflation in goods basic costs (from excess supply) gonna be the most dangerous period of stock investing in history it will undermine the USDollar finally and begin to reverse the 30-yr failed experiment abandoning secured currency without secured currency, the entire economy becomes a bubble we would have seen raging inflation by now, with the 100% increase in money supply, except that cheap imports hid this effect with a sliding dollar, it all comes home / jim