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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (48977)3/26/2002 11:14:47 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Roach on dangers of the recovery (excellent track record)

Stephen S. Roach, the Morgan Stanley economist who
doesn't think like other economists, observes,

"Never before have consumers spent with such abandon during a recession. Moreover, fully 86% of last quarter's consumption burst is traceable to a 39% annualized spike in the durable-goods category, mainly big-ticket items such as motor vehicles, furniture and appliances that are purchased infrequently.

To the extent that such spending was compressed into the final period of last year by some extraordinary post-Sept 11 price incentives, there is good reason to believe that the sales were borrowed from gains that would have otherwise occurred in 2002."



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (48977)3/26/2002 11:20:26 AM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
Magilla Gorilla...Now those are numbers I can agree with. They are not terribly far from the peaks 20 years ago. I also agree that the lure of precious metals has been the one constant thruout history, from their discovery. I don't know why, or how it started, but it's always been there; gold fever has afflicted us since forever, and the quest for it changed forever the Western Hemisphere from Alaska down to lower South America... )I wish I had seen California B4 the gold rush). It sure is pretty. (If I had been the one to set up the system, I would have chosen something a bit more utilitarian, like apples, but, I wasn't).

I know there is lot's of gold in the ground. A few years ago, on my daughter's field trip, we toured a mine in the Mother Lode. They estimate only about 7 % of Cal's gold has been extracted. In the mine, there was a 2' wide band of granite, and, in the middle of the granite, color. It runs maybe 200 miles N/S. How deep? Not even a clue.

Ag is consumed :-)

Sundance



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (48977)3/26/2002 5:53:02 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
On the third hand, after I wrote you, I grabbed Ruff off the shelf to read mice elf to sleep...

"If we have a real runaway inflation, Gold will sell for thousands of dollars an oz and perhaps even millions of dollars an oz, and the same will be true of silver. Remember that silver coin I got from Germany that was worth a million marks? When the inflation began, it was worth 5 marks..."

Ruff
Sit, Ubu
Rat