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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (44222)3/26/2002 8:51:41 PM
From: TREND1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Zeev
I think you are "praying" the line(g)

Larry Dudash



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (44222)3/26/2002 8:53:10 PM
From: jazzcat2000  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
I'm a novice to much of this, especially all of the "alphabet soup" stuff, i.e., VIX, COMP, EMA's, $BPOFX, etc. I do try to follow your posts and hope you are correct on the rally. I do options, mostly all calls(ouch). Do you just self trade your calls,i.e., buy and sell when you see something micro to the stock and/or what is happening to certain market indicators? Are you day trading your options as a rule or it seems like you've held some longer term? Thanks for any comments or certainly for your other posts. Regards, Don



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (44222)3/26/2002 8:55:52 PM
From: Smart_Money  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
At least your money is where your mouth is. I have the upmost respect for that than someone going around talking BS without backing it up with money. p.s. I am long today for the next few days (if we drop before 10:00am I will buy more but if we drop on heavy volume after lunch I am going flat.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (44222)3/26/2002 9:30:11 PM
From: Herschel Rubin  Respond to of 99280
 
Zeev (or anyone): Does anyone definitively know the "cutoff" for end-of-quarter selling & buying related to "quarter-end institutional window-dressing?"
I've seen conflicting statements written in various financial articles:

1. Some say institutions sell/buy up to and including the last trading day of the 3rd month of the quarter for the purpose of window-dressing their portfolios.

2. Others say institutions stop their window-dressing activities three days prior to quarter-end to allow or settlement (T + 3 days) to occur.

As this week only has 4 trading days, if Answer #2 above is correct, then institutional window-dressing would seem to end on Tuesday of this week (today). Stocks under pressure from institutional selling would therefore see buoyancy after Tuesday.

If answer #1 is correct, stocks under pressure from institutional selling would see buoyancy next Monday.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (44222)3/26/2002 9:56:52 PM
From: DlphcOracl  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
One More Rally

One can talk about the low VIX and VXN, etc., but the most impressive thing this month has been the lack of significant earnings warnings. With easy year-over-year comparisons, I think earnings will be better than many expect. They will not be blowout earnings, but I think they will be enough to sustain a 5-10% rally which will end by May 1st. I, too, think 1820 is support which has been successfully tested twice on the NAS -- the slight overshoot to 1810 is of no significance.

I am playing the monthly "strength" period from 3/27 through
April 4 with the UOPIX leveraged shares. If we break below 1780, I exit. Otherwise, I'm holding for a week and reevaluating April 4th. There is an outside chance that a rally will trigger massive short-covering and take the Nasdaq near 2000. I do NOT see any rally taking the Nasdaq past 2100, the early January 2002 high. After this mini-rally, it will be "chop-and-drop" with a trading range lasting to October or November, with a downward bias.

Just my thoughts, FWIW.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (44222)3/26/2002 11:32:15 PM
From: Jdaasoc  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
I was thinking about housing numbers over last 2 months. If over 11 M houses were resold in last two months, that a many, many container ships of household goods and related services that will have to be procured as soon as weather improves and credit card balance improves after paying taxes in April. I doubt that new homeowners are going to stare at bare walls much longer. They are going to go out and spend if he's got a $2 availabel on credit card. No way this is not going to trickle down to corporate earnings.

I bring this up because I get got estimate from tree service and he says he been quoting morning noon and night that are just starting to turn.