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Gold/Mining/Energy : Nuvo Research Inc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: axial who wrote (9107)3/27/2002 10:34:07 PM
From: Montana Wildhack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 14101
 
Jim and everybody,

Third star to the right and straight on till morning.

Don't like alligator mud wrestling? Ok. What about this?

Basic premise: If you're waiting for the stock to go up
near term, you ordered the FDA/J&J combo platter.

Switching to serious, I would expect everyone with near
term aspirations has the same events in mind.

So answer these questions:

1. Do you think DMSO is an issue at this stage?

I don't. The FDA has an open process. It published a
statement of position saying it didn't have an issue.
Indications are this portion of the process is complete.

2. Do you think passing the inspection means we're close?

Yes. Many hours of searching including myself has shown
more and more support for the position that the vast
majority of companies getting to here pass.

3. Do you think J&J is going to distribute?

Yes. They have been publicly mentioned recently and we
were told they came up to do a plant pre-inspection. Further
we were told what event would trigger the process (of
finalizing the deal). I personally also believe this is
a viable NSAID entry for them.

Other questions are immaterial to these events.

The stock price is immaterial at this time.

DMX is behaving absolutely and 100% true to form and we
all need to take delivery of that in the predictive
sense.

I bought a bunch in the 5's and now don't have a dime.

If you think that means something then you're missing
the whole point.

I should have sold everything if I didn't think DIME would
get US approval (despite HC/EU).

If they do a buck or two is immaterial.

Don't straddle the bet. Don't risk the bet with margin
at this time.

Nobody on Bay Street is coming to the party early. We
get no respect until its delivered and installed. Everybody
that believes already owns the stock.

As Jim puts it a wall of skepticism will have to be
breached
...until that has already happened we continue
in the pattern we all know.

So I ask again.

FDA. Yes or no.

Read a book.



To: axial who wrote (9107)3/27/2002 10:57:01 PM
From: Joe Krupa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 14101
 
Jim,

"The thing that intrigues me most about the Mystery Investor from Dundee is why he chose to take a loss. The TA looks bad, but the FA is unchanged."

There could be a dozen reasons. It's in our nature though to always tend to assume the worst case scenario when we see somebody sell.

My bet is the reason I tried to explain. Namely, that many of us felt it was a no-brainer, sure thing that the price would never pull back to the 4's again. After all, this was FDA!

Now that we're back in the mid 4's, many people who committed money that they would only commit to "the sure thing," now realize that they can't afford to tie up that money in a scenario that now seems to have share price risk again. Many people might have heavily margined thinking that it would be a short term flip in the $7 range. Others may just not have those funds available for more than a very short term. Others just get discouraged by the bruising activities of Acqua.

What seems clear though is that this Dundee seller had no insider knowledge when buying (all shares bought after the NR), so I doubt they have any insider knowledge in selling.

Everyone has a different reason for buying and selling. Remember, there's a million stories in the naked city.

joe

FWIW, I looked back at the last two disappointing NR's (HC and EU approvals), and the Dundee trading activity preceding them. I'm happy to report there was no sign of any informed selling through Dundee.