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Strategies & Market Trends : Dave Gore's Trades That Make Sense -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dave Gore who wrote (4674)3/28/2002 8:37:40 PM
From: Bruce A. Brotnov  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 16631
 
Dave, I just received an invite for $100k portfolio contest for month of April. It looks like a group can be entered, perhaps we could enter "Gore's" group and compete with an established system and rules with no cost. Let me know what you think as it starts 1 April.

wellstradechallenge.com

Bruce



To: Dave Gore who wrote (4674)3/28/2002 9:42:26 PM
From: rich evans  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 16631
 
Big price differential on SLR versus FLEX which have about equal
sales and equal leverage. SLR has more shares of course 825 to about
520 but still FLEX is selling 2.5 times SLR. The equal gross margins
are deceptive IMO. SLR's gross margin is nearer to 4% on the EMS
portion as their services and technoloy area which run at 20% anad
15% respectively raise the margin to 6.6%. Flex on the other hand has
IMO margins much higher in the EMS area equal to CLS and Jabil but
their PCB operations lower them down to 6.7 overall. But with SLR you
get a play on both the EMS story plus a turnaround story. With FLEX
you get the EMS story only as they are run very well and efficiently.
So with these prices my verdict would be to buy SLR. Market thinks
they have balance sheet problems but this is wrong IMO as they have 3.3 bill in cash and are generating more to buy back debt at a discount like last quarter. Still their
EMS business sure has gone down even in the last quarter since C-Mac
was not in the NOv results but included at $350 in the Feb results so you
are seeing continue weakness in their core business-- hence their
stock price IMO. But with their new business which should be
accretive to this run rate of 3 Bill a quarter, I see a great buy but
it will take awhile as the comm sector keeps getting pushed out which
is now at end of 2003 calander year. Market is not that forward
looking I guess. But they did a deal with NEC which was supposed to close in March and has not been announced I think and this will add more to the pot.I have been buying the 2004 calls as a leverage play. They are at book value which is a blue light special IMO.
Rich