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To: kech who wrote (116199)	3/29/2002 12:01:14 AM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

you think with exclusion... yes deflation but with inflation in certain sectors most notably energy you must be referring to the deflationary period in 1930's I believe 1870 was reacting to large scale inflation from the Civil War for a little project, gathered CPI on historical basis amazing to see Civil War consequence inflation raged for 5-7 years, then quieted let me ask you something where do you think the $3.5 trillion increase in money supply went since 1990 ? where will it show up ? where will its consequence be evident ? how long do you think GreenJeans will allow low shorterm rates ? what happens to the Naz with 2% higher rates ? will companies raise prices to handle higher energy costs ? and raise for higher interest costs ? will the dollar remain high in valuation forever ? most answers point to higher inflation in a timeframe past our noses I expect to see BOTH deflation and inflation in a strange mix with jetstreams in the huge currency markets, that might produce a powerful gradient hurricane how it plays out will be interesting / jim