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To: kech who wrote (116208)	3/29/2002 1:57:55 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 152472

agreed completely on overall assessment I thought you meant 1870 right after Civil War I see big forces for deflation continuing also but I see big isolated forces for inflation surfacing the energy situation is fraught with undersupply from years of neglect many think the recession calmed the problem, and went away it only rested, to emerge uglier than before the developing nations are consuming oil at twice the growth rate as compared to industrialized nations China is the best example natural gas will probably rise by 50% in price within months that is the take from readings of oil/gas experts the scary proposition in my view is the combination of deflation in tech sectors, inflation in energy sector, mixed together by any unexpected changes in the overarching currency markets the ForEx is so so big financial markets are very much like 3-D weather we might end up with some tropical storms from the ForEx jet streams combining with strong gradient differences in deflation/ inflation this must be examined, a certainly tough topic if tornadoes and hurricanes occur in weather, how do they occur in financial systems? big jet streams working on strong gradient differences we will see good luck to you enjoy the discussion with bright people on these issues A Peaceful Observance of Good Friday to all / jim