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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Biomaven who wrote (6075)4/2/2002 5:53:53 PM
From: Tomato  Respond to of 52153
 
Peter,

Thanks for the thoughtful reply. I keep thinking about Peter Lynch's first book (I think it was his first one) where he uses the approval of Tagamet as an example of how to invest. I don't have the book here but I recall he had a chart of Smith Kline (?) which I think went up several times in a few years after the drug's approval. I think the message was that you could wait for the risk to be out of the stock and still make a lot of money. But I guess if it were that easy to figure out everyone would just buy a stock after a blockbuster drug is approved. <g>



To: Biomaven who wrote (6075)4/2/2002 5:54:50 PM
From: Tomato  Respond to of 52153
 
Peter,

Thanks for the thoughtful reply. I keep thinking about Peter Lynch's first book (I think it was his first one) where he uses the approval of Tagamet as an example of how to invest. I don't have the book here but I recall he had a chart of Smith Kline (?) which I think went up several times in a few years after the drug's approval. I think the message was that you could wait for the risk to be out of the stock and still make a lot of money. But I guess if it were that easy to figure out everyone would just buy a stock after a blockbuster drug is approved. <g>

Wayne



To: Biomaven who wrote (6075)4/3/2002 12:55:36 PM
From: tuck  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52153
 
Peter,

Or anyone. On similar lines, but somewhat OT in that it doesn't much relate to valuation . . .

I was wondering if another good time to buy is when a stock approaches lows, announces a shareholder rights plan, and goes down a bit more. Perhaps the second downdraft is a final wave of selling from nervous nellies who figure there must be something bad happening for such a measure to be taken. Today's case is CRGN, which I have again bought for a swing trade as it approaches lows after just such an announcement.

If I didn't have enough threads to look after already, I'd be tempted to create a "Shareholder Rights Hell" portfolio. Anyone want the job? Or, at least, has anyone noticed any patterns surrounding the above circumstances?

Cheers, Tuck