SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (49627)4/7/2002 1:09:49 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
if Arab-Iran embargo hits, then $50 oil in flash
OPEC has only half its stranglehold, compared to 1973
but whether you die in a wrestler's throat attack in one minute or two minutes... it dont mattah

a $35 spike in oil was seen in 1991 from Iraq Gulf War
that is equivalent now to $42-43, my guess

expect at least $40 oil if these angry towel merchants lock us out
and probably a spike over $50
the S&P will suffer a nasty 15-20% hit

I find the US-Russian alliance to be shaky at best
sure, nice words, lots of hugs, tip a Shtolly next to Jack Daniels
but excess capacity ready to hit the market? NOT
how about a fresh new pipeline thru Chechnya?
or one floating across the Caspian Sea?
or across now peaceful Afghanistan and Pakistan?

funny how we always must adjust previous spikes by an inflation ratio
even though INFLATION IS DEAD ?!?!?!?

get ready for bigass bigtime blowyoursocks inflation
coming to a store near you in 2003-04
maybe starting in 2003-04
but expect hyperinflation sometime for certain inside 2003-06

I mean hyperinflation worse than late 1970's
gold is signaling a storm
confirmation is a move in gold to 350-400
/ jim