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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dave Gore who wrote (49150)4/9/2002 6:02:51 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 99280
 
Ya, you and me both, If NVDA gets back to $44, it may break 40 and go to $38 or so. That is, if CSCO warns.

Personally I think CSCO is a TRAP. CSCO may not warn or if CSCO does warn it will not matter cause it is "priced in".

No way in hell would I short CSCO now and hold overnight.
Max pain is 17.5 and althought it could never close above that (100K+ calls vs 30K puts at that price), I have a feeling there is strong support lurking with 50K puts at 15 and max pain higher.

If CSCO says anything positive it will gap up 1.5 points just like that.

My inclination was to buy CSCO calls today but I did not.
If CSCO says something good I am buying QQQ calls for a 2-3 day runup.

Mind you I think CSCO is worth about $5 no matter what they say. But mish is a very very nervous bear.

M