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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DebtBomb who wrote (50962)4/12/2002 9:30:02 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (6) | Respond to of 99280
 
Dale what do you think?
This is my basis of analysis.
Maybe Ron Dior is not so crazy after all.
Perhaps the only question is how low we go (not the
strength of the rebound).

Here are the QQQ June option figures as of now.

CALLs PUTs
30 4K 39K
31 2K 14K
32 2K 63K
33 7K 38K
34 6K 28K
35 22K 100K!
36 22K 37K
37 28K 34K

Turnips has the bottom in June but I say no way in hell
100K puts are going to finish in the money relative to
pathetic call volumes in June.

Of course this can change, but unless it does, one should
consider holding one's nose and buying the next big dip.
I believe the next dip can take out the sept bottom, so it
should pay to be patient and see.

In the meantime option volumes are light in May Max pain
currently is 35 but I am hoping we dip substantially below
that. QQQ 25 would suit me quite nicely.

If we do not dip, then RON is correct right now.
If we do dip BRCD can easily fall in half.
I will wait. A dip looks immenant.
If Dip does not come now (as I suspect) then I still
believe the turnips are wrong and the dip will then not be
until July.

I can not phathom two things
1) People buying now with out a bottom retest
2) A continued rise from now until June

Are Zeev and I both wrong?
Bottom falls out in July instead of now or June?

M



To: DebtBomb who wrote (50962)4/12/2002 11:59:06 PM
From: DlphcOracl  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
Dale W.: If Hays is correct (which I highly doubt) and Nasdaq gets to 2200, this will provide the best shorting opportunity of the year. I will load the truck with USPIX shares.