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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: High-Tech East who wrote (11607)4/13/2002 11:03:07 PM
From: nsumir81  Respond to of 19219
 
Re:Roach..Corporate America, the all-imp. missing link for the bull market. nm



To: High-Tech East who wrote (11607)4/14/2002 11:31:13 AM
From: High-Tech East  Respond to of 19219
 
... from John Hussman ...

Friday Morning April 12, 2002 : Special Hotline Update

The Market Climate remains on a Warning condition. Once again, the main feature of market action is heavy distribution. Downside volume exploded higher on Thursday, outpacing advancing volume by more than 10-to-1. I hesitate to take that as predictive, but this persistent distribution is really not the kind of action you tend to see in sustained bull markets. Bull markets tend to generate strong volume on upside moves, while declines only briefly generate high volume. Indeed, the ebbing of downside volume on declines and new highs on large upside volume is typical of the sustained buying interest that characterizes bull markets. We don't see that here at all.

For now, we remain fully hedged. When we are fully hedged, our performance is not particularly driven by market fluctuations, but instead by the difference in performance between the portfolio of stocks that we own, and the market indices we use to hedge. We are certainly willing to take stock-specific risk in companies that exhibit favorable valuation and market action, but we are being very defensive in hedging away as much impact from market fluctuations as possible.

http://hsgfx:reciprocal@www.hussman.com/hussman/members/updates/latest.htm