SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (50066)4/16/2002 4:37:34 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
excellent question, surely new ground on silver default
some thoughts
if XYZ Corp leases silver then defaults as price rises, then they are screwed
they are legally obligated to replenish leased metal in fungible form
I need to say fungible, a nice new word
it means exchangeable metal for metal
give back new equivalent metal, instead of consumed old metal
that is why they call it a commodity
if XYZ fails to replace the silver metal when silver is now at $20/oz, then they are legally liable in lawsuits
they can be sued, and will be sued
just like any other lawsuit, pay up or fold
if fold, then bankruptcy court will balance assets and debts
case closed, burial on Tuesday, byebye

but lease agreement are for replacement at contract end
with fungible silver or gold, whichever is leased
you cannot pay back silver with gold
any more than you can with soybeans
they must find the same type metal to purchase and replace
it operates exactly like a car loan or house loan
you pay back the money
only here there is no amortization
more like a "balloon mortgage" of sorts

yes, regardless of price
price is not the issue in a lease
fungible metal is to be repaid, period

plenty of bankruptcy cases will be coming
gonna be hilariously fun to watch
I got a front row seat
gonna bury my coins off Caba San Luca

on the other side is the bullion banker whore
he leased silver or gold in the first place
he mistakenly thought price was fixed and regulated
it may be regulated, but it soon wont be fixed
he is gonna suffer from lawsuit
BECAUSE SUCH VAST AMOUNTS OF GOLD/SILVER WILL NOT NOT NOT BE AVAILABLE AT ANY PRICE
can you see why this will be so hilarious?
it is Enron on a grander stage !!!
the leasing firm will be sued, and fold up its tent

I expect as this absurd leasing game nears its inexorable end, that many bullion bankers will "call in their loans" when they see their own demise nearing on the horizon
this will force the lessees into covering and buying metals
the only big question is whether it will be too late
in the meantime, many lessees will simply roll it over
they will just increase their leased amount of metal

notice how they never amortize and partially pay back over time?
this is horribly and more fatally flawed than a bank loan

the biggest crime will be with the disappearance of owned precious metals by the wealthy
suppose you are Jack Hoff Rockefeller IV
you own $250 million dollars (of shrinking value)
but you have $20M in gold bullion at Citibank
it is possible that your entire gold will have been leased, sold, consumed, gonzo
your bank might actually suffer bankruptcy
then what happens to your wealth?
I dont know
/ jim