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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sully- who wrote (50112)4/17/2002 12:59:53 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
of course, GreeNumbNut.. recovery powered by debt

household debt increases financed entire Q4 rise in spending

federal debt increases financed tax cuts, and response to WTC attack, including a widening war on terrorism

in October I said the War of Terrorism would slowly take a transition into a War on Islam
it is unfolding on schedule

it was corporate off-the-cliff drop in business spending that pushed the economy into recession
it will be business spending that brings us out of recession

IT IS NOT HAPPENING
the US is now a good deal deeper in debt
total debt, public + corporate + private = $32 TRILLION
which is 5x the US GDP

stage #2 of the Debt Collapse happens later this year
this process is NOT reversible

anyone who believes the economy can be revived in a sustained fashion by the CheckWriting Federal Reserve (which includes Voltaire), deserves to have all his/her money stripped away and put in the hands of a responsible person with eyes open

the big surprise is gonna be rising interest rates
and commodity inflation, which can no longer be suppressed by paper-based leverage
enter: The Decade of Commodities
(for all those who can and do read history books)
/ jim



To: Sully- who wrote (50112)4/17/2002 5:27:26 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
17:02 ET BRCM Broadcom (38.76 +0.40) -- Update --
On call, company affirms guidance for Q2 (Jun). For Q2, company continues to expect mid-single digit revenue growth over Q1 (Mar). Assuming 5% growth, this is sales of $250 mln slightly below Multex consensus of $253.1 mln. Company expects a loss of $(0.07) in Q2 (Jun), in-line with consensus...For Q3 (Sep), company establishes target for revenue growth of low-double digits....stock at 39.30.