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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (52349)4/17/2002 5:43:45 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Because I could be wrong.
3-4 point out of the money options during expiry week is a sucker play regardless of where I think BRCM might go.

The calls were a sucker play as well after this runup and were meant for protection in case I am very wrong about BRCM earnings (or the reaction to it).

If BRCM ran up 6-7 points over the next two days those 3 calls for $300 will be worth $5 covering the cost of much of my puts. OTOH if BRCM just drops 1-2 points then the calls will be worthless but the 10-3 leverage will more than cover the cost of the calls.

I see ah that BRCM is a non-event
A huge position in April puts would have cost me a fortune.
It appears (depending on the open tomorrow) I can exit this trade close to break even as long as BRCM stays below 39 or so, and if it dips below 38 a near certain profit (although a very small one). Above 39 open tomorrow I am definately red but not by a lot (unless we see a spike to 46 or so - not gonna happen as we see it now).

M