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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: t2 who wrote (53319)4/18/2002 7:15:51 PM
From: farkarooski  Respond to of 99280
 
should we long or short ???



To: t2 who wrote (53319)4/18/2002 7:26:07 PM
From: 4rthofjuly007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
NV, I believe that the msft CFO said LOW single digit growth from 2002 to 2003 is possible. Yet the stock trades at a multiple of 30. Can you or anyone tell me why it is a buy?

I think that a bottom being put in is certainly a good thing. But now we have to look at earnings growth going forward, no? Sure, you can be assumptive that now that the bottom is supposedly in, after 2003 they COULD return to 20 and 30 or 40% growth rates but I think that I will waita little on that.



To: t2 who wrote (53319)4/18/2002 7:30:28 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
NewVision
You highlighted this part of that article:
Inflows to Equity Funds total $7.9 Billion for the week ended 4/17/02 - the largest inflow since 5/2/01, and the largest ratio of funds reporting inflows/outflows since January.

This is the weekly chart of the COMP going back 1 year. I have marked 5/2/01 on the chart where those large inflows were last year. Right near the top.

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iub14!la12,26,9][j2625783,y]&listNum=1

Don't those large inflows account for the spike on Tuesday? Doesn't it mean that there is that much less cash on the sidelines waiting to come into the office? Doesn't it mean that we now have to come up with another big inflow of cash to drive the next spike?



To: t2 who wrote (53319)4/18/2002 8:20:42 PM
From: Jeff  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99280
 
Inflows to Equity Funds total $7.9 Billion for the week ended 4/17/02 - the largest inflow since 5/2/01, and the largest ratio of funds reporting inflows/outflows since January.

all that means is we are near a market top.....

may 2001.....top 2328

jan.2002.... top 1946

you see....the public always buys tops....thats the way the game is played....you would think the record inflows would have all been around the sept bottom area...right...

the public doesn't buy the bottom....they sell

so like so many folks here...all my indications say we are near topping...and now seeing that inflow news....its just another good confirmation number for me...

if you think MSFT was a steal at 52.00.....stay tuned....the crooks have to hold it up for max pain....that was them in afterhours...:-).......anything near 55 to 60 is good enough.....once they get short....its going lower....

folks just waste their time reading and trying to understand these company reports.....and thinking they know the correct answer to the puzzle...

any big nasdaq stock just moves with the market anyway....

your time is better spent charting the SPX...COMPQ...VIX...INDU.....because if you see the charts breaking down...." it doesn't matter what any of those reports say by any of these companies"....

if the markets going down....so are they.

that makes it so simple....otherwise you are just trying to out guess the market....instead of following the trend....

like i think the nasdaq is going to 1400 soon......all i see is all these stocks much lower at that point....all i need to look for or wait for is the breakdown....once that happens....it doesn't matter what EMLX...QLGC....INTC...MSFT...CSCO...SEBL...YHOO...say in their report....if the markets breaking down....so are they....that way you cut out all the fluff and wallstreet spin.....

so as the market breaks down....all i see is EMLX in the teens...QLGC in the low 30's...etc.etc...

the only way not to get caught in all the hype and fluff of wallstreet is with T/A....and doing the " opposite " of what wallstreet wants you to believe.....

imho