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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: CYBERKEN who wrote (249669)	4/21/2002 5:07:24 PM
From: CYBERKEN	Respond to of 769670

The Republicans will most likely hold the House in 2002. The 2000 Census gave them that already. The question is whether they will gain 5 or 15. That's not an unsubstantial difference, since 15-20 seats would put the writing on the wall for a lot of long-term House Dems who have been delaying retirement on the chance that they'd get the perks of majority status. My own prediction is a gain of 12-18 for the Republicans. The Republicans will win a net of 3-5 in the Senate. A greater gain is possible if the party can continue to pin obstruction and aiding the enemy on the Party of Treason and Appeasement. The Democrats have taken the recession as theirs by clinging to excess taxes as their main argument. The 1993 tax increase allowed the Republicans to nationalize the off-year elections in 1994, and that same opportunity exists today. They merely have to take advantage of it. Thus in 2003, Bush may find-as so many presidents have found-that the toughest Congress to deal with is the one your own party controls. That will allow him to concentrate on his own re-election in 2004. And, as with Clinton in 1996 and Nixon in 1972 (to name only two recent examples) it will add 5+ points to the results he would have gotten by trying to create 'coattails'.