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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Paul Shread who wrote (34662)	4/23/2002 1:27:59 PM
From: Stephen	Respond to of 52237

Paul ... CSCO is trying hard to breakdown ..... Best regards Stephen

To: Paul Shread who wrote (34662)	4/23/2002 1:49:52 PM
From: ajtj99	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 52237

Paul, from what I see in your post, your buddy is suggesting that the Dow June average futures are still around 10,400 and that the hedge funds are trying to force them to delta hedge early so they can lock in some profits at a much lower level, as the MM's will not have started to delta hedge yet. That thinking seems to indicate the hedgies want 9500-9600. It makes sense if 10,000 Dow breaks that they will have to take it to 9500 just to make the futures work out for June. The only difference is that the hedge funds think they can force that right now rather than in June when it will most likely be a voluntary event (initiated by MM's).

To: Paul Shread who wrote (34662)	4/23/2002 3:09:30 PM
From: TechTrader42	Respond to of 52237

Paul: Message 6063001 Bearish when the trend is up, apparently, and bullish when the trend is down. It's all very confusing. Perma-bullheaded maybe? Major league sell signal: Message 6064287

To: Paul Shread who wrote (34662)	4/23/2002 3:15:24 PM
From: TechTrader42	Respond to of 52237

Message 6061984 All very perplexing. I'm beginning to think he's a permabear after all. Message 6061984 "After looking more at the charts, it is very possible that the move down to 9/1 was the first leg down in the bear market." "It is said that bear market rallies are made to capitulate the bears and make everybody bullish and complacent again." Complacent? No doubt about it: A permabear. "Bear market rallies, no new highs - read my lips." Message 6062275

To: Paul Shread who wrote (34662)	4/23/2002 3:34:38 PM
From: TechTrader42	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 52237

"Bearish again, too much bullishness ..." Message 6082018 Message 6111055 Lots more bearish posts, too. Much too negative on the market, right in the midst of a rally. Apparently, though, there was a change of heart -- when the market started to trend down.