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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TREND1 who wrote (55758)4/24/2002 2:42:42 PM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 99280
 
You have to update your Fed Model with revised revenue guidance. Fed Model should now be at least 10% overvalued.



To: TREND1 who wrote (55758)4/24/2002 2:46:22 PM
From: 4rthofjuly007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Larry, did you know that the Fed model is based on analysts estimates??

How accurate have those estimates been? Not very accurate, way too high.

I am going to do a little research and see how overvalued the Fed model is if estimates are too high by 2%,5%,10% and how undervalued it is if estimates are too low by the same increments.

PS

Thanks for sharing all your work.



To: TREND1 who wrote (55758)4/24/2002 6:41:20 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99280
 
Fed model was 15% undervalued at the fall trough. So we could still go considerably lower. But for many years the market has never stayed in undervalued more than a few weeks.


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