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To: mishedlo who wrote (57644)4/27/2002 1:29:32 PM
From: jjs_ynot  Respond to of 99280
 
Some of the assumptions that Mertin and Scholes made in developing the so-called Black-Scholes model don't necessarily hold in all markets and thus the reason derivatives firms get in trouble. The suspect assumptions:

- A liquid market, that is thus not subject to short squeezes or "Black Monday" type panics
- Time continuity in the statistical model they chose, with no step functions. That is, gaps up or down are not treated (Gaussian distribution)
- Equal probability up or down (the efficient market hypothesis) which is not necessarily correct in strongly trending markets.

Regards,

Dave