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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: BigBull who wrote (27439)	4/28/2002 7:21:54 PM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi BigBull; Interesting article. But I think the author is suffering from wishful thinking. Re: "If the military people around Saddam were convinced that the United States was definitely going to invade, they would know they were going to be defeated. And since I doubt that there's really any intense personal loyalty to Saddam, I suspect that the people around him would not fight to the death to protect him, but rather would begin to maneuver to try and head off an American invasion and defeat by getting rid of Saddam themselves." From this logic it follows that Saddam is already dead, as he must have been killed by his inner circle during the first Gulf War. The fact is that the surviving Iraqis have undoubtedly learned from the first experience and are going to avoid sitting around in tanks out in the middle of a desert waiting for us to use smart bombs on them. Instead, they'll turn it into a house by house city invasion that will generate huge casualties on both sides and will eliminate the US advantage in the air. -- Carl