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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Skeet Shipman who wrote (51160)4/28/2002 7:34:33 PM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Respond to of 54805
 
OT? - Video Phones,

In personal communication with far-away relatives and friends,
I would definitely like to have the video capability. Also,
when something concrete visual needs to be discussed.

However, I doubt I would pay extra for video capabilities...

Also there is a problem, that one needs to keep oneself
in camera's view and focus, which is tough in a lot
of conversational circumstances.

Jurgis - but then I am not a teenager



To: Skeet Shipman who wrote (51160)4/28/2002 7:37:15 PM
From: tinkershaw  Respond to of 54805
 
We just left an era where technology could do everything, and have now entered an era where technology can do nothing. I think sentiment has overshot the mark again.

Wireless data has a lot of utility for professionals and business owners. I use my Sprint phone as a back-up for e-mail. E-mail brings in money, I therefore don't want to miss any of these e-mails. This is but one example.

But indeed, the whole product is not there. When the PC Jr. came out the big cry was "what do people need a computer for in their home?" A decade later half of us have a PC in our home and can't live without it.

Of course there is always the infamous McKenzie study of lore that told AT&T that the cellular market was a non-starter, and no one needed mobile phones.

Point being, the technological adoption process, as laid out in TFM, is drawn upon decades of data describing how technology markets develop and proliferate. It will be up to the industry to follow this curve. To first find early adopters, rich and needy enough, to afford and be willing to pay for the services. From here it will proliferate down the chain. The process may take a decade, or it may take less time.

Personally, I only see video phones becoming the norm way down the road. I see other wireless needs that are more practical driving the technology first, from instant messaging, to updating one's sales catalogue while on the road.

But the whole product needs to be put together, and that is a difficult thing to do. Once accomplished, it opens up a whole swarth of wealth, beyond what even Alexander the Great could have pondered (from the History channel, apparently, Alexander held the largest concentration of wealth the world had ever seen; ie, relatively speaking, he became the richest man ever to walk on the planet. So move over Bill Gates, you still have more empires to conquer if you want to catch up.;) )

Tinker