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To: Sergio H who wrote (1042)5/3/2002 12:13:22 PM
From: ivan solotaroff  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1065
 
Godot,

I don't look at this as a viable strategy in a bear market. If you're still interested though:
From Post1: The basic rules for playing these cats, known as PGDCEBs (Post-Gap Deat Cat Exhaustion Bottoms) are as follows:
A stock gaps down, from close to open, 30% or more, usually on volume five to 30 times greater than average. Over the next 3 weeks
(15 trading days) a down trend often results as more holders steadily throw in the towel and eat their loss or the post-gap momentum
players take gains/say: "What am I doing in this piece of ..."
The extreme oversold condition reaches a point of opportunity on a day when a NEW LOW is made on GREATER VOLUME than
each of at least the previous 3 days ... an exhaustion bottom. On that day, the BID must close OFF the low, preferably by TWO TICKS
or more.
The ensuing reaction produces an average gain of 28%. A stop-loss of just 2 ticks below the signal day low is HIGHLY recommended.
It must be stressed that these are extremely perilous situations, as one is literally working without a net.
Many PGDCEBs return to new lows after the upside reaction and signal again. These stocks develop a "signal history" which can be
very helpful in assessing the potential for any future trade based on the signal. A cat with a poor signal history should generally be
avoided.

Ivan