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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: limtex who wrote (61729)5/4/2002 11:22:44 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 99280
 
Breadlines for decades, civil unrest leading to war bankruptcies, no more consumers, no more retail stores, no health care, no autos, the noyl thing left will be everyone buying Gold.

Best,
L


L, that may be Westies call but it is not mine.

1)How about unemployment at 9%
2)Plenty of bankruptcies (the end result of which will be more profits for the survivors, how is that for a bit of a silver linging from this bear, but consolodation will take years so don't put on that party hat just yet)
3)Plenty of retail stores, too many and more shakeouts (as in more KMs failing)
4)Rising healthcare costs and some kind of crisis that will lead to some sort of national health insurance, but more than likely our Congress will screw up the package
5)Some sort of gold rush with consumers getting in on the tail end and getting crushed
6)No civil unrest of significant magnitude
7)No breadlines
8)Housing plummets as we enter the double-dip
9)Stock prices on all this old economy stuff falls in half
10)Final shakeout in TELECOM but unless there is some sort of reform the winners will still be in sad shape
11)Severest worldwide recession since the 30's
12)Probably no depression (if one defines that as 10% sustained unemployment)
13)Plenty of autos, too many in fact and more layoffs in that segment, but in 4 years or so there will be a huge boom in autos as the economy starts to recover and people want new cars (another silver lining here)
14) With the pickup in autos, jobs and the economy things will again be looking up

This might take 3-8 years to play out in its entirety with plenty of false starts in between

M