SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (18721)5/5/2002 8:01:30 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
OK, let's review the rules again, which, by the way, as I understand it are immutable. As I understand it, this isn't like Karl Marx and Adam Smith arguing about what's best. It's not a matter of preference. I can't follow the math but you could if you wanted to.

You can have any two of the following three, but not all three:

1. Freedom to manage your economy to suit political pressure.

2. Freedom for capital to move in and out without restriction.

3. Control over the exchange rate.

Argentina pegged their exchange rate to the dollar, so they already picked number three. That means they could have either number one, or number two, but not both.

But, they tried to have all three, anyway, because who cares about a bunch of economists, what do they know?

OK, so currency speculators knew that what Argentina was attempting to do was impossible. So they bet that Argentina was going to devalue, and made it a self-fulfilling prophecy.



To: smolejv@gmx.net who wrote (18721)5/5/2002 8:32:09 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hi DJ, <<became a playing field for fast money, that the government was borrowing at an ever faster rate. And then the moment came, when the rug got yanked from under their feet - there were no lenders anymore, just the reminders for interest payment coming in>>

Argentina does not concern me nearly as much as the fractal-scale-up of Argentina.

Tried borrowing from JPM or Bill Gross lately?

Chugs, Jay