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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: J.T. who wrote (12071)5/6/2002 8:25:50 AM
From: High-Tech East  Respond to of 19219
 
... it looks like Greenspan wants to squeeze all the air out of the Nasdaq ...

Ken Wilson
________________

May 6, 2002, Wall Street Journal

Greenspan Comes Out Strongly Against Stock Options, Again

By DEBORAH LAGOMARSINO, DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

WASHINGTON -- Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan ratcheted up his campaign against stock options, saying companies' current accounting for them has inflated earnings and stock prices.

"The seemingly narrow accounting matter of option expensing is, in fact, critically important for the accurate representation of corporate performance," Mr. Greenspan said Friday in remarks delivered via satellite to a financial conference in Atlanta.

The Fed chairman believes companies should be required to treat stock options as an expense against earnings, just as they do for other forms of compensation, such as wages and salaries.

"I fear that failure to expense stock-option grants has introduced a significant distortion in reported earnings -- and one that has grown with the increasing prevalence of this form of compensation," he said.

Stock options have come under attack since the collapse of Enron Corp. and other companies and have been widely blamed for helping fuel the 1990s stock-market bubble and accounting scandals. Mr. Greenspan has became a leader of the charge, with Friday being the second time in recent weeks that he has devoted a speech to the subject.

Still, Mr. Greenspan has no regulatory control over the issue, and options, heavily used by high-tech companies, have strong political backers, so change remains unlikely. At the White House, Mr. Greenspan's criticism of the accounting practices that companies use for stock options has fallen on deaf ears. The administration opposes any changes in the treatment of options on financial statements.

In his latest salvo, Mr. Greenspan cautioned that the "greater risk" is to leave the current system of options accounting in place. "There is a legitimate question as to whether markets see through the current nonexpensing of options. If they do, moving to an explicit recognition of option expense in reported earnings will be a nonevent," he said.

"If, however, markets do not fully see through the failure to expense real factor inputs, market values are distorted and real capital resources are being diverted from their most efficient employment. This would be an issue of national concern," he added.



To: J.T. who wrote (12071)5/6/2002 2:12:10 PM
From: High-Tech East  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
... J.T. ... in your assessment, what is the lowest we can go without being in serious trouble on the downside on the SPM2? ...

... now at 1067.50 ... with a closing low on 09/21/01 of 977.00 ... 8.5% from here ...

... my guess is 1057.50, the low of 10/30/91 ... not much support below that down to 943.00, low of 09/21/01 ...

Ken Wilson



To: J.T. who wrote (12071)5/6/2002 3:59:59 PM
From: High-Tech East  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19219
 
... there is no support under the S&Ps and Nasdaq back to the lows of last September ...

... I hate to say it, and I could be wrong, but we could be looking at a negative one time event in the morning tomorrow ... I mean a crash ...

Ken Wilson



To: J.T. who wrote (12071)5/6/2002 7:59:19 PM
From: High-Tech East  Respond to of 19219
 
... BKX closed at 863.55, a liitle above the 858 you mentioned ... SPM2 just traded on Globex at 1052.60 ... this is VERY INTERESTINK, JAHVO ...

Ken