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Pastimes : Thoroughbred Horse Racing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nemer who wrote (227)5/6/2002 11:18:50 AM
From: snookcity  Respond to of 1269
 
Nemer
Thanks I dont buy lotery tickets just straight tri's better odds. My feeling is dont buy a ticket that doesnt have a chance of cashing. A $6 tri box only one can win so
$5 are automatic losers. Nice pick on War emblem he looked strong pulling away at the finish.



To: Nemer who wrote (227)5/8/2002 8:37:11 AM
From: Freedom Fighter  Respond to of 1269
 
>>My wandering off into the exotics nearly always wastes my money ... as it did for me this Derby <<

Me also.

The probabilities of winning and the probabilities of finishing second or third are related but not perfectly.

The horses that are good enough to win often get involved in the contentious portions of the race trying to get into or maintain a position that will enable them to win. That can lead to a situation where some of the better horses actually finish off he board and cheaper horses suck up for second or third.

Most people key their exactas and triples among the horses they consider most likely to win without regard for these wierd trip potentials.

I personally also have a tendency to play too many saver type wagers that reduce value.