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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pcstel who wrote (22390)	5/9/2002 12:20:41 AM
From: samim anbarcioglu	Respond to of 197011

pcstel, all of that is absolutely right. That's exactly how it happened. We all watched it.. <<Decide WCDMA is dead. And tell all the 3G spectrum holders to just deploy GPRS in that 3G spectrum. >> Quite possibly that's how it may turn out. Europe will lose. Because <<After all. If FOMA is 3G, then GPRS is also 3G.>> is not true. The demand for mobile data is there and it will come in like an avalanche. Poor Euro carriers will not participate in any of that for a while. Then another year or so of famine, seeing their counterparts in theh US, Korea, Japan, China flourish with CDMA, and VOD, BT,DT etc will force their respective govs to allow GSM/1X/DO. That's my bet

To: pcstel who wrote (22390)	5/9/2002 9:04:37 AM
From: Ramsey Su	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 197011

the only problem with a delay 3G WCDMA tactic is the other cdma. China, the largest market, has CDMA now and CDMA 1X soon. US, the second largest market, has 1X already. Japan, the third largest market, has just demonstrated 1x is kicking ass. Korea just launched the most advance wireless technology in the world. A wcdma delay plan would be music to the ears of so many competitors, willing and able to take all the business from the companies of yesteryears. Ramsey

To: pcstel who wrote (22390)	5/9/2002 1:10:00 PM
From: Dennis Roth	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 197011

GPRS: Flop or Kingdom Come For Sluggish Telecom Sector? wirelessweek.com MAY 9, 2002 As sales of mobile phones dwindle across Europe, Nokia and other struggling telecom groups are pinning their hopes for a recovery on new technology now hitting the market featuring high-speed wireless Internet connections and multimedia messaging services incorporating sound and photos. The newest fad in mobile phones, called GPRS (General Radio Packet Services), is intended to bridge the gap between the current generation of GSM mobile phone services and the next generation, called third-generation or 3G. "This year will see the arrival of a number of new exciting products and services," Nokia chief executive Jorma Ollila said as he presented Nokia's annual earnings report in January, holding up GPRS handsets with radios, digital cameras and music players. All of the big mobile phone makers -- Sony-Ericsson, Siemens, Motorola and Nokia -- have already launched their first GPRS phones on the market, though more affordable handsets with additional features are expected this autumn. But whether the new technology will be the success Ollila and the rest of the telecom sector hope for remains to be seen. On Nokia's home turf, many tech-savvy Finns remain skeptical. "GPRS will be a flop, just like WAP (Wireless Application Protocol)," said a senior Finnish government official who asked to remain anonymous but who carries no less than two Nokia handsets on him at any given time. "We won't bother with it, we'll go straight to 3G instead," he added. 3G was initially meant to have been launched in Europe by now, but it has been repeatedly delayed and is now forecast to hit the market sometime in 2004 or 2005. With the launch as elusive as ever, many think GPRS will meet many of 3G's expectations. While 3G's super-fast wireless Internet connection allows users to watch live video, GPRS, which builds on WAP technology, offers mobile Internet, e-mail and multimedia messaging (MMS), incorporating sound and still images. "With services like mobile e-mail and Internet surfing, whenever and wherever you are, you can really do an ad-hoc organization of your day, you can basically there and then make the decision how to proceed and who to contact," said Raimo Kantola, a telecommunications professor at the Helsinki University of Technology. GPRS also offers a theoretical data transmission rate of up to 172 kilobytes per second, almost 20 times faster than current GSM phones, but in practice it will be closer to 30 to 50 kilobytes per second, said Karri Rinta, telecom analyst with Evli Bank. For operators, adapting their networks from GSM to GPRS consists basically of a software upgrade, which represents a minimal investment that allows increased traffic on their GSM networks and the possibility of huge profit margins on new services. Since GSM networks are already congested, GPRS will also finance the rollout of 3G networks, which are compatible with GPRS and GSM standards. In Japan, services similar to GPRS have been all the rage, with four million subscribers over the past 18 months hooking up with operator J-Phone's handsets with photo messaging, featuring embedded low-resolution cameras. Even more impressive has been the success of rival DoCoMo's popular i-mode standard for mobile Internet, ringing up 31.3 million subscribers in three years. Those numbers are music to the ears of Ollila, who will soon launch Nokia's first handset with a large color screen and built-in camera, enabling users to surf the Internet and send and receive MMS. The Finnish Association of Electronic Wholesalers expects these services to be so popular that it has forecast that 80 percent of the mobile phones sold in Finland by the end of the year will be GPRS handsets. However, whether it will be such a success remains to be seen, according to Kantola. "Nobody can know beforehand if it will be a flop or not," he said. "The bottom line is that GPRS is a good service, and a worthwhile addition to GSM." --- 140