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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LTK007 who wrote (65044)	5/9/2002 8:07:20 PM
From: 4rthofjuly007	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99280

Max, I do not rely on SI for sentiment. Fact is that investor polls are showing bullish/bearish sentiment at levels seen in Sept. Vix is did not confirm a bottom but I think I have said>> is it really practical that trading has become so easy that we can just short the market until a nice easy to read capitulation low is set. Now, I have been bearish and short since December and held my shorts until just last week. I am still VERY bearish on the fundamentals. But I do see potential for another rally that lasts much longer than most think is possible. I will certainly short this rally as I think that the bear still has 1 or two years to wind down. As far as the potential rally in an overall bearish market. I see not much of a problem with another rally that exceeds 20% or more from these levels. Look at Japan over the last 10 years. I would like to see how the mid 1700s are "handled", if we even get there. And I have no problem getting back into rydex venture if it looks like it is time to go short. I hate to repeat myself but the COT report will be very interesting.

To: LTK007 who wrote (65044)	5/10/2002 10:33:05 AM
From: Mike M	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99280

Max, you can call SI a sample if you like or not... Bearishness is becoming pretty thick around here and on Wall Street. We still have more on the downside but the one thing that you can count on is that there will be explosive rallies in the midst of the carnage of a bear market. I believe we will have an interesting summer rally. Not expecting anything more than a DCB but as the bulls sing "Happy days are here again" the bears will scream "foul"... Then as fall approaches suddenly the music will become more familiar or monotonous depending on your perspective.