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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dealer who wrote (51284)5/10/2002 1:49:24 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
most techs are right back where they were before cover rally
EMC in the 7's
INTC in the 27's, still 100% overpriced
QCOM in the 27's
IBM back under 80
CIEN in the 6's

the one holding up best is the utter joke CSCO, in 15's
at 2% topline revenue growth, still 100% overpriced
this CSCO is a single digit if I have ever seen one

what an impressive Mother of All Suckers Fool's Rally
wondering how many fools bought after Dow was already up 275 pts
after another 4-5 Mother Sucker rallies, the public will give up

just an observation, but I am seeing more and more competent economic commentary on the airwaves and internet
much more competent than I have ever seen
I believe the quacks may have been supplanted by quality
productivity is seen widely as an advantage after overcapacity
lack of income tax receipts is not confirming recovery
after inventory drawdown, not much economic GDP growth
little follow thru into job creation
unemployment applications moving average still over 400,000
nonexistent business investment still
on and on

some good stuff
unfortunately, I see very little if anything out there on the big big threat to the entire US system: the USdollar
it is totally taken for granted by the crowds
I smell unspeakably high complacency in this important arena

reality will hit before long
maybe weeks, maybe months, maybe next year
but it is coming
the USdollar correction is only one of several key impetuses behind lifting GOLD
/ jim