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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jane4IceCream who wrote (36016)5/13/2002 6:45:56 PM
From: Davy Crockett  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Message 17462568 a truly excellent poster... this guy is effin amaizing... with no personal agendas.

Regards,
Peter

To:svenlar who wrote (12266)
From: SliderOnTheBlack Monday, May 13, 2002 6:39 PM
Respond to of 12269

["...just gettin' a little bit worried... that's all"]
What is important for those who got in early & cheap here on the gold stock move; is to keep moving stops up...especially if you haven't been taking profits.

Stop-strategy; where you set your stops and re-entry buys; along with how you stagger them for each stock & your entire gold/pm holdings... depends on whether you've been taking profits all along, playing the rotation to laggards/small caps game, or just buying & holding.

In uptrend cycles it's a stair-step move up & taking profits and re-buying the dips, or rotating to later cycle plays/laggards & small caps works... as long as the move is in place.

Sentiment is the greatest technical indicator and it will be the primary indicator I use to start cashing in the Gold-Train when the time comes.

We're not even close yet imo.

...but, given this is my first ride on the Yellow Train; I'd appreciate hearing from those "old-timers" who were around for the prior PM cycles; especially the 79-80 historic top.

It's time to start studying how these prior cycle's progressed; the how's,when's & why's about the rotation/participation of the small caps & exploration juniors etc.

This is NOT just a temporary safe haven rotation into gold due to the War on Terrorism & Mid-East Strife... this is the end of a Central Bank led prop-job of King-Dollar in conjunction with the supression/intervention [ READ MANIPULATION ] of Gold.

The decimation of cap ex spending , capacity & exploration led to the success of the last Oilpatch Cycle... we had all the headlines calling for the end of the Oil Era, calling for endless gluts of $5 Crude and the end of Opec.

...it's been no different for Gold.

But, Gold has 2 things going for it that Oil didn't have.

1.It's a much, much smaller market-cap sector....only miniscule changes in investor sentiment towards gold can leverage the sector's move.

2. Unprecedented short-derivative positions.

Gold has much, much more speculative-parabolic upside leverage than Crude does... and it's going to require ice-water in the veins to not sell & exit the "sweet spot" melt-up when it arrives... and arrive it will.

...I'd love to see some individual junior & exploration commentary; be they valuation models, leverage to the POG #'s, or exploration stories etc

..and let's not forget our silver bretheren either.

- that's the no-brainer roation idea imho... as silver is obviously lagging golds move; but traditionally it WILL outpace gold in ultimate returns.

GOLD & SILVER: Foi Est Tout ~