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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (51454)5/14/2002 11:14:46 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
USdollar counter-rally should continue for a little while
I see resistance with 50day MovAvg just above here
like at 115.5 to 116
depending on the averaging method (simple, exponential)
a counter-rally is nothing unusual
the 50MA in huuugggge downtrend, and will serve as brick wall

major stock indexes are approaching heavy heavy resistance
I doubt the situation with non-existent earnings, continuing games with accounting, and brokerage house pumping can keep the game going much longer

watching the stock rally is truly saddening
not because I dont participate
but because of a tragic denial
so many are caught fighting in the charred remains of the broken tech bubble
any substantial rally in techs represents the clearest bear trap that technical analysts could EVER produce, ever
the debt collapse has changed everything
the excess capacity has changed everything
tech traders deny it all, and continue
LIKE DOGS RETURNING AND LAPPING UP THEIR OWN VOMIT

wow, CSCO is back to 16+, down from 60
wow, JDSU is fast approaching 4, down from 125
wow, EMC with a few more good days will find 10 again

this is like watching a former baseball superstar trying to adapt to pony league pitching after a debilitating stroke


broken bubbles bring new leadership
95% of tech traders are so miserable and torn from losses
they cannot turn to other sectors, recognizing new leadership
they dont seem to learn much
I have my own problems learning, but more with types of stocks that I pick

meanwhile, silver is soon to break to $6
like days or a couple weeks
that should spread to gold, which will halt the USdollar
and thus provide more obstacles for stocks

has anyone noticed that crude oil is a CH away from breaking out again ???
this time toward $30/barrel
I predict this event will interrupt stocks and the dollar
/ jim