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Strategies & Market Trends : ahhaha's ahs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ahhaha who wrote (4405)	5/15/2002 3:25:58 PM
From: JayPC	Respond to of 24758

Al Quaeda gets a base from which to operate against the Great Sataan. And this is bad? Better Cuba then San Diego. Regards, Jay

To: ahhaha who wrote (4405)	5/16/2002 3:12:14 AM
From: frankw1900	Respond to of 24758

There are many in Cuba who have to believe the communist nonsense. They've sacrificed their lives for it, so they have the past and their image of themselves, which is very important for the Cuban, to preserve. How old are these people? The vast majority of living Cubans didn't sacrifice their lives for it - they had their lives sacrificed to it by a bunch of geezers. I don't deny there are plenty of people who are still dedicated to communism but they will be a minority by now. Also, you're extrapolating what the average Cuban may prefer Actually, I'm assuming with no real evidence, except the desperate state of the country, that the vast majority of Cubans don't believe in communism, and I include aparatchiks under Castro. when it is the powers that be underneath Castro who need to preserve their position within the hierarchy by retaining the communist structure. They have to preserve their positions. They don't have to preserve communism. If Castro undermines the power base of the upper bureaucracy, he will have to go. Castro is letting Carter open up the possibility that the power base can radically change. This isn't the same situation found in Soviet Union where the apparatchiks simply walked over to the other side of the street to a new office labelled "Russian Federation". The situation is parallel in a way to the Chinese under Mao, or even more like some of the Soviet satellites like Albania or Bulgaria under their old strongmen. It depends on the position of the secret police and the armed forces. If they decide communism is spent, then it's game over for Castro and the Party - all the forces have to do is stand aside. Russians never revered Gorbachov the way Cubans revere Castro, but the people may turn on Castro because he's selling out their sacrifice. Cubans are habituated to Castro and his cronies running the show using the usual secret police apparatus. Some may revere him but lots detest him and will turn on him because they've been bullied and swindled out of their security and freedom. Others will turn on him because he's selling out. Al Quaeda doesn't need constituency. They can act as mercenaries Didn't think of that. Assassinating Castro causes upheaval. The powers under Castro might elect to engage assassins and then use them to protect the revolution. They might, but they've lots of home grown thugs. Don't need to hire a bunch of islamist crazies. . Al Quaeda gets a base from which to operate against the Great Sataan. And the US turns up in force the next AM with fresh memories of 9/11.