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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (51594)5/17/2002 11:23:52 AM
From: t2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
JW, You seem very certain in your outlook.

I just wonder what happens if one more hedger all of sudden decides to unwind a bit, could be an explosive move in gold.

Where did you get that 20%/25% of stocks owned by overseas investors? Just curious. That is a large number. I thought they held mostly US bonds. Under that scenario, you could be right but I do think one way to reduce currency risk is still to go into large cap multinationals...and of course LOAD UP ON GOLD!



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (51594)5/17/2002 11:26:45 AM
From: mt_mike  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 65232
 
JW, not sure if you saw the economics discussion on CNBS this morning regarding the trade deficit and current account deficit. Marci's replacement concluded that the sizeable current account deficit was not really a problem since foreign money would not abandon the dollar for either the Euro or Yen since neither the European economy nor Japan are likely to have any economic recovery without the US. There was no mention that besides the Euro and Yen foreign money could sell dollars and move to gold rather than the Euro or Yen.
I know we are in the very early stages of the golden bull when no sees gold as a viable alternative to dollars.