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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul V. who wrote (63902)5/17/2002 3:39:22 PM
From: willcousa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Looks like you could go to cash the first time a BTB drops and maximize your upside.



To: Paul V. who wrote (63902)5/17/2002 3:55:07 PM
From: Gottfried  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Paul, I'm a visual person and find it much easier to look at the charts

suite101.com
suite101.com

The one thing you show and I didn't chart is billings vs price.

You asked >Will we top out during the Sept-Nov. this year?< My guess is we'll get a fake price top during this time, but not the cycle top.

Gottfried



To: Paul V. who wrote (63902)5/18/2002 3:54:54 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70976
 
Why aren't you using the real (split-adjusted) stock prices? That would be a better way to compare different peaks and troughs.

Another column, showing the P/S ratio, or the PE based on cycle-peak EPS, would show what investors were willing to pay for AMAT, at each cycle peak and trough. The absolute stock price doesn't mean much.