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Strategies & Market Trends : Complacency Indexes -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: exp who wrote (1314)5/21/2002 11:17:52 AM
From: TechTrader42  Respond to of 1487
 
Exp: I wouldn't presume to fully comprehend such a keenly perceptive question, but I'll endeavor in all humility to provide an answer, inadequate though it might be.

No, the CI's were bouncing around this morning. The Dow provided another short entry point, when it retraced part of yesterday's candlestick.

The CI's are now pointing down, but they might continue to bounce around:

ST Naz CI: 81.808 94.622
MT Naz CI: 60.645 61.533
LT Naz CI: 49.384 56.652

ST S&P CI: 70.087 75.826
MT S&P CI: 73.457 78.549
LT S&P CI: 72.670 75.656

With the SPX GAAP P/E over 40 (and with 20+ representing overbought and 10 oversold), there's a lot of uncertainty over whether the market is overbought or whether it's filled with bargains. This is because savvy investors don't want miss a train that could take them on a breath-taking ride over a cliff.

No need to respond, because I'd almost certainly fail to understand the sage reply.

-- Uriah



To: exp who wrote (1314)5/21/2002 12:29:23 PM
From: TechTrader42  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1487
 
So far, the downtrend continues after the sucker bounce, exp:

ST Naz CI: 80.320 94.622
MT Naz CI: 59.542 61.533
LT Naz CI: 48.540 56.652

ST S&P CI: 66.087 75.826
MT S&P CI: 69.907 78.549
LT S&P CI: 70.588 75.656

But things could change at any time. It's a rough market. Heck, HAL is showing how rough it can get.