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To: Cage Rattler who wrote (85631)5/21/2002 6:16:03 PM
From: E. Charters  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116819
 
Its all very simple. Jean Baptiste Fourier splained it in his theory of natural boundary phenomona for Napoleon. It has been the Rosetta stone of engineers ever since. What you do is figure everything is one big sine wave made up of all kinds of little bitty sine waves all added up on top of one another. Their phases collide in seemingly random ways and the result is a chaotic wave or non-predictable looking wave. All you got to do is pick the big wave apart into a lot of little sine waves again. Then you project them ahead and add them up again. Or you could figure out what all the little sine waves probably are, add them up till they look like your big wave you figure they are the result of and project them ahead by non linear regression and fudge them until your macro wave is a predictor. One problem is the interdependence of the related cycles. A suggestion might be to try cycles at random until you get one that looks like some graph of historic cycles. that is called macro wavelet by chance theory. Another approach might be to try Pascals triangle. Series are given by the difference between differences until the differences are unitary. Then the differences can be projected ahead. The right fudge factor needs to be thrown in at the right place.

Let me know how it works out. I want 50% of the action.

EC<:-}



To: Cage Rattler who wrote (85631)5/23/2002 2:26:10 PM
From: IngotWeTrust  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116819
 
for Lord's sake let me know:

Two clues for you:
one: is a wonderful piece of trading software that will set you back a minimum of 3 bills. It combines both Gann and Elliott in a very VERY cool, predictive tool that points out set ups so beautifully, even a blind hog can find more acorns.

two: is a totally clued in and uncannily accurate XAU trader with his own newsletter. His sine work especially in XAU and then useful in a couple of his hot button sectors. His code is a tad archane, but acquirable.

For ease of use in trading, you can't beat trading software #1, and the choice of a great many successful floor traders, both in commodities as well as specialists on the floor of equity exchanges. Don't know if bond traders use it...I don't have any friends that walk in those circles.

g_t