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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Warpfactor who wrote (36471)5/28/2002 8:56:34 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Warpfactor, Good observations. Yes, the weekly would be only friday's close- and as you point out- the weekly is much higher than the 5 day.

I don't really know what it means- or if it's only been happening since last september. It could also be explained by ST traders closing positions on friday- which they often do, terrorism or not. Risk reduction, I guess.

I took friday afternoon's sell off as a buying opportunity, and added to my longs.

Thanks for the thoughts- Can you point me to some of the posts where you have discussed these factors? I'd be interested in checking them out.

Regards,
TW



To: Warpfactor who wrote (36471)5/28/2002 10:39:15 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52237
 
OK- I had to check out the friday closes on TRIN. Here's what I discovered for this year, 2002, so far:

When friday TRIN is greater than 1.5, the following day always had a lower closing TRIN (7 out of 7x). The market OTOH (basis SPX), was only up 4 of the 7x the following day.

When friday TRIN was > 2.0, the following day again always had a lower TRIN (4/4x)- but the odds of an up day were much lower, only 1/4..

Intraday values on the following day, are of course not taken into account. So theoretically, the TRIN could have gone quite a bit higher before it reversed on the follow day.

Not enough instances to draw solid conclusions- but here's a suggested theory:

Weekly closing 1.5 < TRIN < 2.0 - look for a tradeable low on monday.
Weekly closing TRIN > 2.0- wait an extra day before looking for a low..

TW