To: unclewest who wrote (30749 ) 5/25/2002 11:32:48 PM From: Gulo Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500 Given that trade is a "Foreign Affair", I'm surprised it is not discussed more here. >unfair canadian subsidies of their lumber exports to the USA As I understand it, the complaint is that the lower Canadian stumpage fees are thought by the U.S. timber lobby to constitute a subsidy. As with any real story, there are a number of points of view. The U.S. timber cutters have to pay high fees for cutting on private land because that is what the market in those areas will bear. There is high demand for the lumber because there is an artificially high number of wood cutters. If we let the market rule, the U.S. industry would be rationalized. Yes some jobs would be lost, but they would be lost from an industry that should shed jobs. Will overall U.S. unemployment rise? No. Total employment will rise because capital will be more efficiently distributed. That said, the Canadian stumpage rates are generally lower than rates on U.S. public lands as well. The fact that costs such as replanting, road construction, surveys, resource assessments, etc. are paid for by the taxpayer in the U.S. means that those costs have to be recouped in stumpage fees on public lands. Those costs are borne separately by the logging companies in Canada. In the big picture, Canadian lumber costs less than U.S. lumber for the same reason that fresh water in Canada costs less than fresh water in Saudi Arabia. There is more of it. Canadian lumber plants also benefit from an economy of scale made possible from the large amount of forest available (many timber licenses in Canada were given out early last century and are positively huge). Aside from much higher U.S. lumber prices, a major side effect of the current 30% duties placed on Canadian lumber will be increasing demand by U.S. lumber companies for timber rights on private woodlots. The woodlot owners will make a killing because they will now be able to charge even higher stumpage fees, especially since the money collected from duties will be given to the lumber companies. The end result is that the U.S. lumber companies will still be money losers. Ah. The beauty of the law of supply and demand. -g As an aside, I'd love to see a slowdown in the Canadian logging industry, especially in west coast old-growth forest, because the current rates are not sustainable.