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To: goldsheet who wrote (85927)5/27/2002 11:41:15 AM
From: marek_wojna  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116832
 
Here is some update for you, Bob.

<<ODJ Australian 1Q Gold Output Fell To 65.7 MT - Analyst

CANBERRA, May 27 (Dow Jones) - Gold production in Australia in the 2002
first quarter fell to 65.7 metric tons, the lowest quarterly output since the
1995 third quarter, industry analyst Surbiton Associates Pty. Ltd. said Sunday.
Output last quarter was 4.5% down from production in the 2001 fourth
quarter and 9% down from the 2001 first quarter, it said.
Australia is the third largest producer nation for gold, after South Africa
and the U.S.
Sandra Close, Surbiton's managing director, said quarterly gold production
has fallen about 10% from a peak in 1997.
"The continued drop in production is no surprise; it's the direct outcome
of lower exploration expenditure," she said in a statement.
As a result, extra production from new discoveries and developments isn't
keeping pace with mine closures, she added.
Some of Australia's larger, long-term mines have come to the end of their
lives, with the Kidston and Mount Leyshon mines in Queensland state having
closed, and Boddington and Mount Charlotte mines in Western Australia state in
their final stages, she said.
Fewer significant closures are anticipated in the near term, she said.
The fall in Australian gold production comes at a time of renewed interest
in the precious metal because of relatively high U.S. dollar and Australian
dollar prices, Close said.
The Australian dollar gold price averaged A$560 an ounce in the first
quarter, the highest quarterly average since 1987, and even with a stronger
Australian dollar lately, the price in local terms still is around A$570/oz,
she said.
"The higher prices have renewed interest in gold both in Australia and
overseas," she said, adding that how long this will be sustained is uncertain.
"Let's hope higher gold prices lead to more exploration," she said. "Even
the locals are interested now, with several successful new floats and capital
raisings recently."
Close also said takeovers in the Australian gold industry in the past year
have changed ownership considerably, with around 60% of gold production now
controlled from overseas.
Investors wanting a direct shareholding in the Australian gold sector have
fewer local producers and explorers from which to choose, she said.
Surbiton issued its statement before news emerged early Monday of a hostile
A$2 billion bid by Canada's Placer Dome Inc. for AurionGold Ltd., for now
Australia's largest locally owned gold company.
Other major gold miners are Newcrest Mining Ltd. and Sons of Gwalia Ltd.

---
Ray Brindal, Dow Jones Newswires, 612 6208 0902
ray.brindal@dowjones.com

FSN50795 MC METALS
2002-05-27 01:49:02 UTC



To: goldsheet who wrote (85927)5/27/2002 12:31:13 PM
From: IngotWeTrust  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116832
 
Hi, Bob. This is what kills me about the type of P/R "spin" about gold production Press Releases, represented by this opening salvo from a TODAY P/R posted earlier on this thread.

CANBERRA, May 27 (Dow Jones) - Gold production in Australia in the 2002 first quarter fell to 65.7 metric tons, the lowest quarterly output since the 1995 third quarter, industry analyst Surbiton Associates Pty. Ltd. said Sunday.

Okay...here's the math:
65.7 metric tons per qtr x 4 qtrs=262.8 extrapolate annual metric tons production.

Help me out here, Bob/anyone:
Wasn't it 220ish metric tons of gold Australia govt surplus dumped back a few years ago because they front ran the BoE auction announcement basically. And the Aust gov't basically announced one of the reasons they did so, was because they basically mined 160-180 metric tons every year, so there basically wasn't any reason to "store it" on a gov't level.

If my memory is correct, what slays me about the P/R spin put out above is this:
It is designed to make a statement about a REDUCTION in production. Oh, gee, let's all get together and moan on the count of three...1....2....3: ????? (What? Thundering silence from the gold analysts????)

Truthfully, such spun press releases as quoted above fail to take into account any facts in hand from analysts who have a memory longer than a whore's hangnail, or access to historical production databases by country.

Such "reduction" pronouncements are never based on historical production truths from an accumulation of the "growing years."

Yuck.



To: goldsheet who wrote (85927)5/27/2002 2:00:21 PM
From: PAUL ROBERTSON  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116832
 
what i find funny is how Taylor keeps getting questioned as to how come this deal was not done when it would have been much cheaper. His response, "I have only been CEO for two years and a bit." give me a break........



To: goldsheet who wrote (85927)5/27/2002 5:39:13 PM
From: long-gone  Respond to of 116832
 
<<Placer sees increased production at South Deep>>

damn it