SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (119380)5/28/2002 1:00:44 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
i know we discussed this a bit before, and i am not any sort of macro expert, but while you are adding the shoes Nike makes in China to our tally, be sure to subtract the orders of magnitude larger sales of all the foreign auto subsidiaries stationed in the US.

because if you want to take the foreign investment route, i think you will find there has been net foreign investment in the US (i.e., after you backout the US corporate investment abroad).

it seems pretty obvious to me that our manufacturing base is being totally hollowed out (except for maybe defense/aerospace, which is not exactly bullish since it depends on a larger defense budget, and a larger public sector portion of the GDP implies lower productivity). a look at the YoY sales trends of the domestic vs foreign auto makers is rather depressing.

meanwhile, the infotech areas where we have had a lead were obviously in a bubble. and besides, a number of cos in those areas are imho not true businesses, but rather Ponzi schemes dressed up as businesses.



To: carranza2 who wrote (119380)5/28/2002 1:08:59 PM
From: rkral  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
This is something that has always been puzzling to me as we've run trade deficits for a long time, yet the dollar has been strong for a similarly long time.

If you haven't already, you should consider that GDP has been growing too.

Ron