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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mt_mike who wrote (52167)5/28/2002 2:09:28 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
SEA.V on Toronto Exch, same as SEABF by US investors
you see the close for Monday, down a tad
you wont find intraday quotes on it from American broker websites

it is up 25% day
the quote you see is yesterday
heading to 20's very quickly

SEABF is a hyper option call on the gold price
with a loose strike price of 360-380
but without any specific expiration date

as perception and expectation that gold will rise past 380 becomes hardened, then Seabridge will benefit from the transition from a holding company of stalled gold mine to an operator of gold mine producers
the transition must bring about a 10-15 fold rise in the stock price
I expect by autumn, that appreciation will have been realized

there is no foreign risk, since all mines are in NorthAmerica
there is no risk for dry holes, since all mines were in operation producing gold until the gold price was pushed down corruptly below 340-370
there is no additional research, exploration, assay cost, since $100M had already been spent by previous liquidated owners

this stock must get to the twenties quickly
its chart should resemble an "S Curve" sweeping up to its true value with a viable gold price
the value of its gold reserves is now approx 80-90 times its current market cap
the typical multiple is about 3-5x

the Tundra Mine acquisition announced Friday convinces me that SEABF will eventually reach $100/share
probably by 2005 or sooner
/ Jim



To: mt_mike who wrote (52167)5/28/2002 2:27:59 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 65232
 
notes from talk just now with gold/silver coin dealer

he expects gold to pull back slightly from 325
my TA chartist view is pullback from 335

he said it is now written in stone:
Barrick will announce bankruptcy before Christmas
JPMorgan will be revealing a blownup derivative desk before Christmas

the fallout from Barrick bankruptcy will be to restrict supply
since operations will be interrupted during court oversight
numbskull arrogant Barrick is the biggest NoAmerican producer
the few remaining heavily hedged miners will get their nuts cut off before they disclose their corrosive hedge books
and HUI will further diverge from XAU
the XAU might even turn flat, which will make wonderful press
ABX makes up 35% of XAU index, so XAU should drop 35% soon
oodles of shareholder lawsuits for mismanagement of hedge books

the consequence from JPMorgan blowup will be to ignite investor demand and to bring full attention to the suppression of gold that prevailed for over a decade
following this blowup will be calls for govt bailouts as risks will rise for the entire EastCoast banking system
we might well see the linkage fallout on the shorterm interest rate connection with gold suppression that Greenspan and Lindsay write about
by that I mean, higher shorterm interest rates
which would torpedo both stocks and corporate earnings

this all should bring new earthquakes to investor confidence
correct me if I am wrong, but JPMorganChase is the biggest bank in the world

but more importantly, I expect it will expose JPMorgan's corrupt relationship with the US Federal Reserve
and calls from Congress might surface on clear disclosure of the national gold reserve status
I believe 50% of our US Gold Reserves have been sold
this serves as collateral to the US $6,000,000,000,000 Treasury debt
thus a scandal at the US Federal Reserve doorstep


by this time, I expect gold to surpass $400 easily
and the Recession with Inflation scenario will be widely accepted
as The Perfect Storm unfolds
/ Just A Jackass