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Strategies & Market Trends : Complacency Indexes -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TechTrader42 who wrote (1390)	5/29/2002 1:59:17 PM
From: da_cheif™	Respond to of 1487

i agree the trend is up.....and this ones probably gonna be bigger then the 90.s as the weekly AD line of the primary market is goin insane after bottoming 2 years ago....

To: TechTrader42 who wrote (1390)	5/29/2002 2:13:52 PM
From: ajtj99	Respond to of 1487

That's da_cheif's favorite article, Brooke. He reads that every day to remind him that we're still in an uptrend since 1982, which I don't disagree with <G>. Apply my Crash Value theory (equity market crashes bottom at a historical rate of return from the previous major market crash). Take the Dow in 1982 and apply an 8% annual return (the norm without dividends) and you should have a generous crash value of 5,000 to 6,000 on the Dow in 2003. You could possibly apply the same Bubble Value theory to the Dow in 1966 and come up with a bubble valuation of 16,000 on the Dow by 2002. That's what da_cheif believes. I believe we had the bubble value top already in 2000 and we are correcting to the crash value bottom. This also should work for the COMP going forward from 1990.