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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: habitrail who wrote (52425)5/31/2002 12:00:18 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 65232
 
high grade coins are unusual and not well understood
it took a while to be taught by my broker
also a book clarified the history of coins with data

here is what I learned:
first, supply is extremely low, and over time even decreases
legacy family coins disappear, are lost, incredible
the numbers in mintage are absurdly low
as the mintgrade rises, the numbers get even lower
newer years coins are passe', a joke
the mintage numbers are in the high millions

I own one coin where under 800 exist,
a real fine Walker Half Dollar in high mintstate pre-WW2
compare that with 10-12 million Morgan Silver$ minted yearly
my broker owns a Civil War Commemorative coin where only three exist
he expects it will eventually pay off his $700k mortgage

(just learned a highschool friend sold rare coins many years ago to buy candy bars)

second, demand is more than you think
and the typical customers are multi-millionaires
not the usual investor types
the subgroup of individuals worth $5M is rapidly growing in USA
the demand is growing for all silver and gold between the Civil War and WorldWar2
this includes Barbers, Mercury Dimes, Walker Halves, maybe certain Morgans (e.g. "O" series)
demand is accentuated by the sheer beauty of many designs
they look stunning gorgeous, shiny

the beta is not much different from mining stocks
maybe it is a little higher beta
but these coins I refer to are rare coins, not standard coins
they must be uncirculated, proof quality, or mint state
many coins in condition below uncirculated trade basically with the physical metal
the demand for high quality coins is much greater

historical data bears out all I claim above
one coin I purchased had a price rise one week after delivery
increased value was 13%

I hope this helps
/ jim