Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: da_cheif™ who wrote (12479)	6/1/2002 6:16:56 PM
From: High-Tech East	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 19219

<<inflationary economic boom of unparalleled proportions>> ... 'cheif' ... pardon my rudeness, but what does that mean? ... sounds like a simplistic flip-off as in you don't feel like providing a meaningful answer ... eh? ... ... an inflationary economic boom caused by low interest rates and loose money in the U.S., which will eventually cause some type of overheating on the upside, is that what you mean? ... but that ain't gonna happen this year, and maybe not for the first couple of quarters next year ... the double-dip is alive and well, as we will likely find out before Thanksgiving ... ... what exactly do you mean and why? ... ... what is your forecast for equities, bonds, inflation, the dollar, gold and unemployment? ... ... I say equities [up short term and then down big time by November 1] ... ... bonds [down slowly into 2003 and then down quickly] ... ... inflation [up slowly until mid-2003, and then up sharply] ... ... the dollar [rally short term, but then down gradually until the fall - and then down to .98 by early 2003] ... ... gold [sharp correction soon and then big rally through the fall to the high 300s] ... ... unemployment [gradually higher through early 2003, peak around 8.0% next February] ... ... I may end up completely wrong, but this is based on the idea of a serious double dip in the economy followed by a bottom in equities for this cycle (but lower than September, 2001) ... and then gradual recovery through mid-late 2003, and 2004 ... with no boom until 2005 or later ... ... if we go directly into an inflationary economic boom here, it will be followed quickly by a giant economic and worldwide collapse ... ... please paint your scenario for us - you must have one ... Thanks, Ken Wilson