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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (74188)6/3/2002 8:38:18 PM
From: Secret_Agent_Man  Respond to of 99280
 
CARTEL CAPITULATION WATCH

*The stock market continues to sell-off on good U.S. economic reports. When the stock market
went up after September 11 after bad news, the Wall Street pundits remarked how important
that was (the way the market acted). Now that the opposite is occurring, they say the stock
market action is misguided.
*The big names are all breaking down. GE closed below key technical support, finishing at
$30.11. It is trying to catch up to the other Big Blue, IBM.
*J. P Morgan Chase has to deal with the gold derivative neutron bomb. It sank to $34.66, down
$1.29.
*The Treasurer of beleaguered El Paso Energy commits suicide. Their stock plummets to
$21.95, down $3.70
*Embattled Tyco CEO Dennis Koslowski abruptly resigns due to an investigation into his
personal finance. The stock of Tyco tanks and further vindicates Prudent Bear’s David Twice,
who took Tyco on years ago and was vilified by CNBC for doing so. Tyco’s share price is
headed for Argentina.
*The Dow broke ALL support closing at 9710, down 215.
*The NASDOG continues to bark on its way to 500+. It is headed for the South Pole.
*The CRB continues to rise, closing above 204.
*The prices paid component in today’s ISM Manufacturing Index was higher than expected,
raising some inflation concerns.
*The dollar was routed when the stock market was buried. It is close to making new lows,
closing right above 111.

Reports such as this one are on the increase:

<>Global: The Dollar Bubble
Stephen Roach (New York)

The post-bubble US economy has not been lacking in aftershocks. The collapse in business
spending on information technology is at the top of the list. In close pursuit is the meltdown of
the telecom sector. But not all of the excesses have been purged. Could the dollar bubble be
next to pop?

morganstanley.com



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (74188)6/3/2002 10:39:30 PM
From: robwin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Zeev,

The SOXX is near your 440 target..won't take much to breach..i fear 400 will be gone before long as well...hmmm...



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (74188)6/3/2002 11:08:39 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
Zeev how do you think bios will react on the bounce?
Will bios underperform or overperform the bounce?
PDLI seems like a good choice but not sure if you follow it.

PDLI INCY CRA CRGN MLNM TRLK all are sitting on significant cash.

Burn rate on CRA is pretty high (as we have discussed) but PDLI seems reasonable.
TRPS also looks like a decent one and TARO sure bounced hard off 20 or so.

M