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Strategies & Market Trends : Zeev's Turnips - No Politics -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: longdong_63 who wrote (76235)6/7/2002 5:32:11 PM
From: Softechie  Respond to of 99280
 
By this time next year if economy not improving then Nasdaq will fall near 1000 or below. From what's been going on last few months in the market and it's not selling below 9/01 low then one thing: they're waiting for corporate profits to come back and not capitulating although it will be a long wait IMO.



To: longdong_63 who wrote (76235)6/7/2002 7:00:55 PM
From: Zeev Hed  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
The low in October of 1998 was about 1343 or so, I am taking a panic spike under it to 1296 (to also break a "psychological" level at 1300) as the "ultimate" potential bottom, for a variety of reasons, but if that is breached, I really have no way to target the next level except using various fib ratio of the most recent (by then) declines. None of these are particularly good. I think that so far, since the April breach, the market is following a very tight scenario, which should culminate in an excellent bottom as planned around the 28th, if, the market continues with the scenario. The break today was a little deeper (and earlier) than anticipated, but it does not change the general scene by too much. Just as the Mid May bounce all the way to the top of the expected range, did not change much the outcome of the Nassacre in General.

Zeev



To: longdong_63 who wrote (76235)6/7/2002 9:34:20 PM
From: SirRealist  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99280
 
If you want a parallel to 1929-1933, I can see NASDy going below 700 within a year. But 1050 is the worst imaginable case I see this year.

The only way I can see that low requires a catastrophic event such as someone splitting an atom...