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To: bambs who wrote (59769)6/10/2002 2:09:28 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77398
 
The problem with that theory is that consumer spending will remain strong until 2009 based on moving demographics. That means GDP growth will remain strong, which is a negative for gold. Gold just got a really good boost from the simultaneous recession and loony toons Middle Eastern terrorist activities, not to mention the unwinding of hedge positions. But the party for gold is almost over. Take a look at HGMCY today. It's down significantly off its highs.

Agree with you on general pattern of real estate, though. Other good hedges after 2009 will be bonds, Asian markets (ex Japan), Biotech, Health Care, and Financial Services. However, from 2002-2009, large cap U.S. stocks will outperform all other asset classes, especially now that we've had a whopper correction over the last two years. But you have to start taking advantage now and start buying large caps.