To: RetiredNow who wrote (59795 ) 6/13/2002 12:26:05 AM From: Paul V. Respond to of 77400 Gottfried, DW bull percentages below. According to the ISI reports we get and the DW bull percentages, the economy is slowly moving up but the market is going down. There is only approx. nine sector overbought (above the 68%) now, with all the leading indicators, nyse, and otc down for each. Look what has happened during the last weeks and go back to March to see how the market has steadily been dropping. Biogenics, telephone, computer, semi, drugs, software are in the oversold areas. We must remember that DW has alerted us that when the sector breaks below the 70 percentile the stock has the tendency to break below the 50 percentile so that it balance out at the mean (50%). Below the 30 percentile is the oversold areas and over 70 is the overbought area. IMO, it looks like the sectors and market is headed further downward. However, the oversold sectors are coming to their lows historically. Individuals may want to check the sectors and stocks in their respective sectors on stockcharts.com. The average level for all the sectors is 55.5% as of june 4, 2002. This week it appears it has gone lower. PS look what happen to the precious metals sector. Just my opinions from my data. Paul Changes Changes Changes Changes Changes Changes Changes 5/7/02 5/14/04 5/21/04 5/28/04 5/31/04 6/6/02 6/11/02 10week 60 10week 61 10week 52 10week 50 10week 48 10week 36 10week 33.01 30nyse 76 30nyse 71 30nyse 67 30nyse 66 30nyse 66 30nyse 60 30nyse 56.227 30OTC 51 30OTC 53 30OTC 67 30OTC 66 30OTC 48 30OTC 42 30OTC 39.229 bpaero 70 bpaero 64 bpaero 64 bpaero 64 bpaero 56 bpaero 52 bpaero 53.846 bpauto 79 bpauto 76 bpauto 76 bpauto 74 bpauto 70 bpauto 56 bpauto 56.977 bpbank 89 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 86.728 bpbiom 19 bpbiom 20 bpbiom 28 bpbiom 28 bpbiom 28 bpbiom 18 bpbiom 14.024 bpbuil 81 bpbuil 84 bpbuil 78 bpbuil 78 bpbuil 76 bpbuil 72 bpbuil 70.079 bpbusi 66 bpbusi 68 bpbusi 68 bpbusi 62 bpbusi 62 bpbusi 58 bpbusi 56.098 bpchem 75 bpchem 78 bpchem 78 bpchem 78 bpchem 78 bpchem 70 bpchem 68.889 BPCOMP 35 BPCOMP 34 BPCOMP 34 BPCOMP 34 BPCOMP 34 BPCOMP 34 BPCOMP 29.391 bpdrug 35 bpdrug 34 bpdrug 34 bpdrug 34 bpdrug 32 bpdrug 28 bpdrug 23.944 bpelec 41 bpelec 40 bpelec 40 bpelec 40 bpelec 40 bpelec 34 bpelec 29.137 bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuti 64 bpeuti 64 bpeuti 64 bpeuti 64 bpeuti 64 bpeuti 54 bpeuti 50.98 bpfina 64 bpfina 64 bpfina 64 bpfina 64 bpfina 64 bpfina 60 bpfina 56.429 bpfood 73 bpfood 74 bpfood 76 bpfood 76 bpfood 76 bpfood 70 bpfood 65.517 bpfore 74 bpfore 78 bpfore 78 bpfore 78 bpfore 78 bpfore 70 bpfore 68.085 bpgame 64 bpgame 66 bpgame 58 bpgame 50 bpgame 50 bpgame 32 bpgame 33.333 bpguti 65 bpguti 60 bpguti 60 bpguti 60 bpguti 60 bpguti 56 bpguti 54.902 bpheal 50 bpheal 48 bpheal 46 bpheal 46 bpheal 46 bpheal 42 bpheal 41.371 bphous 76 bphous 76 bphous 76 bphous 76 bphous 76 bphous 70 bphous 64.474 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpinet 19.82 bpinsu 82 bpinsu 82 bpinsu 82 bpinsu 82 bpinsu 82 bpinsu 72 bpinsu 69.173 bplati 52 bplati 54 bplati 54 bplati 54 bplati 54 bplati 54 bplati 48.387 bpleis 60 bpleis 60 bpleis 58 bpleis 56 bpleis 52 bpleis 48 bpleis 52 bpmach 64 bpmach 58 bpmach 58 bpmach 58 bpmach 56 bpmach 48 bpmach 45.045 bpmedi 48 bpmedi 48 bpmedi 48 bpmedi 48 bpmedi 48 bpmedi 44 bpmedi 39.007 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 67.241 bpnyse 65 bpnyse 65 bpnyse 54 bpnyse 64 bpnyse 68 bpnyse 60 bpnyse 57.04 bpoil 70 bpoil 70 bpoil 70 bpoil 70 bpoil 64 bpoil 62 bpoil 57.042 bpoils 71 bpoils 70 bpoils 70 bpoils 70 bpoils 66 bpoils 54 bpoils 52.941 bpopti 54 bpopti 54 bpopti 55 bpopti 53 bpopti 52 bpopti 46 bpopti 42.264 bpotc 48 bpotc 49 bpotc 49 bpotc 47 bpotc 48 bpotc 44 bpotc 40.306 bpprec 72 bpprec 72 bpprec 70 bpprec 76 bpprec 82 bpprec 82 bpprec 59.375 bpprot 53 bpprot 44 bpprot 52 bpprot 56 bpprot 56 bpprot 44 bpprot 43.333 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82.979 bprest 82 bprest 84 bprest 84 bprest 84 bprest 84 bprest 84 bprest 82.353 bpreta 78 bpreta 78 bpreta 82 bpreta 78 bpreta 72 bpreta 68 bpreta 65.888 bpsavi 92 bpsavi 92 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 91.837 BPSEMI 28 BPSEMI 48 BPSEMI 52 BPSEMI 46 BPSEMI 40 BPSEMI 28 BPSEMI 20 bpsoft 27 bpsoft 28 bpsoft 34 bpsoft 34 bpsoft 28 bpsoft 24 bpsoft 21.012 bpstee 71 bpstee 72 bpstee 68 bpstee 68 bpstee 68 bpstee 62 bpstee 55.556 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 18 BPTELE 16.933 bptext 82 bptext 82 bptext 84 bptext 84 bptext 84 bptext 72 bptext 73.438 bptran 68 bptran 66 bptran 66 bptran 66 bptran 66 bptran 62 bptran 61.972 bpwall 45 bpwall 44 bpwall 50 bpwall 50 bpwall 42 bpwall 32 bpwall 27.273 bpwast 55 bpwast 60 bpwast 60 bpwast 62 bpwast 62 bpwast 54 bpwast 55 HLnyse 79 HLnyse 76 HLnyse 74 HLnyse 78 HLnyse 74 HLnyse 70 HLnyse 56.89 HLotc 60 HLotc 61 HLotc 60 HLotc 59 HLotc 52 HLotc 40 HLotc 28.5 twotc 43 twotc 47 twotc 40 twotc 36 twotc 38 twotc 28 twotc 25.1 Changes Changes Changes Changes Changes Changes Changes 5/07/02 5/14/04 5/21/04 5/28/04 5/31/04 6/6/02 6/13/02 bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpeuro bpsavi 92 bpsavi 92 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 94 bpsavi 91.837 bpbank 89 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 88 bpbank 86.728 bptext 82 bprest 84 bptext 84 bptext 84 bptext 84 bprest 84 bpreal 82.979 bprest 82 bpbuil 84 bprest 84 bprest 84 bprest 84 bpreal 82 bprest 82.353 bpreal 82 bptext 82 bpreta 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpprec 82 bptext 73.438 bpinsu 82 bpreal 82 bpreal 82 bpinsu 82 bpprec 82 bpmeta 74 bpbuil 70.079 bpbuil 81 bpinsu 82 bpinsu 82 HLnyse 78 bpinsu 82 bptext 72 bpinsu 69.173 HLnyse 79 bpreta 78 bpfore 78 bpreta 78 bpfore 78 bpinsu 72 bpchem 68.889 bpauto 79 bpfore 78 bpchem 78 bpfore 78 bpchem 78 bpbuil 72 bpfore 68.085 bpreta 78 bpchem 78 bpbuil 78 bpchem 78 bphous 76 HLnyse 70 bpmeta 67.241 bphous 76 HLnyse 76 bphous 76 bpbuil 78 bpfood 76 bphous 70 bpreta 65.888 30nyse 76 bphous 76 bpfood 76 bpprec 76 bpbuil 76 bpfore 70 bpfood 65.517 bpchem 75 bpauto 76 bpauto 76 bphous 76 HLnyse 74 bpfood 70 bphous 64.474 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 HLnyse 74 bpfood 76 bpmeta 74 bpchem 70 bptran 61.972 bpfore 74 bpfood 74 bpmeta 74 bpmeta 74 bpreta 72 bpreta 68 bpprec 59.375 bpfood 73 bpstee 72 bpprec 70 bpauto 74 bpauto 70 bptran 62 bpoil 57.042 bpprec 72 bpprec 72 bpoils 70 bpoils 70 bpstee 68 bpstee 62 bpnyse 57.04 bpstee 71 30nyse 71 bpoil 70 bpoil 70 bpnyse 68 bpoil 62 bpauto 56.977 bpoils 71 bpoils 70 bpstee 68 bpstee 68 bptran 66 bpnyse 60 HLnyse 56.89 bpoil 70 bpoil 70 bpbusi 68 bptran 66 bpoils 66 bpfina 60 bpfina 56.429 bpaero 70 bpbusi 68 30OTC 67 30OTC 66 30nyse 66 30nyse 60 30nyse 56.227 bptran 68 bptran 66 30nyse 67 30nyse 66 bpoil 64 bpbusi 58 bpbusi 56.098 bpbusi 66 bpgame 66 bptran 66 bpnyse 64 bpfina 64 bpguti 56 bpstee 55.556 bpnyse 65 bpnyse 65 bpfina 64 bpfina 64 bpeuti 64 bpauto 56 bpwast 55 bpguti 65 bpfina 64 bpeuti 64 bpeuti 64 bpwast 62 bpwast 54 bpguti 54.902 bpmach 64 bpeuti 64 bpaero 64 bpaero 64 bpbusi 62 bpoils 54 bpaero 53.846 bpgame 64 bpaero 64 HLotc 60 bpwast 62 bpguti 60 bplati 54 bpoils 52.941 bpfina 64 HLotc 61 bpwast 60 bpbusi 62 bpprot 56 bpeuti 54 bpleis 52 bpeuti 64 10week 61 bpguti 60 bpguti 60 bpmach 56 bpaero 52 bpeuti 50.98 HLotc 60 bpwast 60 bpmach 58 HLotc 59 bpaero 56 bpmach 48 bplati 48.387 bpleis 60 bpleis 60 bpleis 58 bpmach 58 bplati 54 bpleis 48 bpmach 45.045 10week 60 bpguti 60 bpgame 58 bpprot 56 HLotc 52 bpopti 46 bpprot 43.333 bpwast 55 bpmach 58 bpopti 55 bpleis 56 bpopti 52 bpprot 44 bpopti 42.264 bpopti 54 bpopti 54 bpnyse 54 bplati 54 bpleis 52 bpotc 44 bpheal 41.371 bpprot 53 bplati 54 bplati 54 bpopti 53 bpgame 50 bpmedi 44 bpotc 40.306 bplati 52 30OTC 53 BPSEMI 52 bpwall 50 bpotc 48 bpheal 42 30OTC 39.229 30OTC 51 bpotc 49 bpprot 52 bpgame 50 bpmedi 48 30OTC 42 bpmedi 39.007 bpheal 50 BPSEMI 48 10week 52 10week 50 30OTC 48 HLotc 40 bpgame 33.333 bpotc 48 bpmedi 48 bpwall 50 bpmedi 48 10week 48 10week 36 10week 33.01 bpmedi 48 bpheal 48 bpotc 49 bpotc 47 bpheal 46 bpelec 34 BPCOMP 29.391 bpwall 45 twotc 47 bpmedi 48 BPSEMI 46 bpwall 42 BPCOMP 34 bpelec 29.137 twotc 43 bpwall 44 bpheal 46 bpheal 46 BPSEMI 40 bpwall 32 HLotc 28.5 bpelec 41 bpprot 44 twotc 40 bpelec 40 bpelec 40 bpgame 32 bpwall 27.273 bpdrug 35 bpelec 40 bpelec 40 twotc 36 twotc 38 twotc 28 twotc 25.1 BPCOMP 35 bpdrug 34 bpsoft 34 bpsoft 34 BPCOMP 34 BPSEMI 28 bpdrug 23.944 BPSEMI 28 BPCOMP 34 bpdrug 34 bpdrug 34 bpdrug 32 bpdrug 28 bpsoft 21.012 bpsoft 27 bpsoft 28 BPCOMP 34 BPCOMP 34 bpsoft 28 bpsoft 24 BPSEMI 20 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 bpbiom 28 bpbiom 28 bpbiom 28 bpinet 22 bpinet 19.82 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 24 BPTELE 18 BPTELE 16.933 bpbiom 19 bpbiom 20 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpinet 22 bpbiom 18 bpbiom 14.024 BPALL SECV64 BPALL SECV61.7 BPALL SECV61.7 BPALL SECV60.8